Analysis

The extraordinary breadth of Hunter Biden’s pardon

President Joe Biden’s pardon of son Hunter for any offenses over a nearly 11-year period doesn’t have many, if any, direct historical parallels.

By Aaron BlakeDecember 2, 2024
Analysis

What to make of Trump’s Cabinet picks

On some Cabinet picks, President-elect Donald Trump’s strategy is clear: disruption and retribution.

By Amber PhillipsNovember 28, 2024
Analysis

How to argue about politics on Thanksgiving — with the facts

From tariffs to deportations, here are the facts about some of the heated issues that could come up on Thanksgiving.

By Amber PhillipsNovember 27, 2024
Analysis

Americans’ many contradictions on Trump’s agenda

Mass deportation and tariffs are among the proposals on which Americans’ views contain multitudes.

By Aaron BlakeNovember 25, 2024
Analysis

Even Republicans want a check on Trump

Three-quarters of Americans and a majority of Republicans say they want Republicans in Congress to push back on Donald Trump when they disagree.

By Aaron BlakeNovember 25, 2024
Analysis

2024 is the year Democrats lost their populist edge

New polling reinforces a reason Democrats lost in 2024: Voters increasingly see the GOP as speaking for -- and to -- them.

By Aaron BlakeNovember 22, 2024
Analysis

The key 2024 election results you might have missed

State legislative and Supreme Court races were not terribly decisive, while we saw setbacks for ranked-choice voting and minimum-wage increases.

By Aaron BlakeNovember 22, 2024
Analysis

Mandate? Fuller election results increasingly show GOP gains were small.

A holistic look — down to the state legislative level — reinforces that early Trump and GOP claims to a huge “mandate” were overblown.

By Aaron BlakeNovember 20, 2024
Analysis

The diciest Trump Cabinet picks, ranked

Evaluating the factors that could give enough Republican senators pause in confirming Trump’s picks.

By Aaron BlakeNovember 19, 2024
Analysis

Trump’s Cabinet picks, and the morality problem

A number of Trump’s picks have major personal skeletons, including troubled sexual histories, but does the GOP care?

By Aaron BlakeNovember 18, 2024
Analysis

Democrats blame Biden more than Harris for 2024 loss

Parsing the initial blame-game polls.

By Aaron BlakeNovember 18, 2024
Analysis

The Senate Republicans balking at Trump’s Cabinet picks

A look at who has declined to express support for Gaetz, Kennedy, Gabbard and Hegseth.

By Aaron BlakeNovember 15, 2024
Analysis

Checks and balances? Some GOP lawmakers say just do whatever Trump wants.

Republican lawmakers increasingly say not only that Trump has a mandate, but that his mandate is all that matters.

By Aaron BlakeNovember 14, 2024
PoliticsAnalysis

Why Matt Gaetz is such a controversial pick for attorney general

Trump has been nominating loyalists to serve in his Cabinet, and nowhere is that more obvious than in his pick for attorney general: Rep. Matt Gaetz.

By Amber PhillipsNovember 14, 2024
Analysis

Trump’s picks take a bizarre — and extreme — turn

What Matt Gaetz, Pete Hegseth and Tulsi Gabbard bring with them.

By Aaron BlakeNovember 13, 2024
Analysis

The best and worst candidates of 2024

Republicans ran fewer obviously flawed candidates than they had in 2022, but underperformances still cost them big.

By Aaron BlakeNovember 12, 2024
Analysis

Americans elected Trump. They might not like what comes next.

A look at how Americans feel about some of Trump’s more controversial potential policies.

By Aaron BlakeNovember 11, 2024
Analysis

Did abortion ballot measures backfire on Democrats?

It’s plausible, but the evidence suggests Democrats’ failure to win the messaging battle played a bigger role.

By Aaron BlakeNovember 8, 2024
Analysis

Trump’s mandate isn’t as ‘powerful’ as he suggests. Here’s why.

The size of Trump’s and the GOP’s perceived and actual mandate has huge implications for what lies ahead.

By Aaron BlakeNovember 7, 2024
Analysis

Could Democrats still win the House?

It appears unlikely, but unpredictable and slow-counting California looms large.

By Aaron BlakeNovember 7, 2024